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Seantobyent > Blog > Opinion > President Tinubu’s Economic Reforms: A Painful Path to Recovery
Opinion

President Tinubu’s Economic Reforms: A Painful Path to Recovery

kingdanzee
Last updated: August 29, 2024 7:08 pm
kingdanzee
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When President Bola Tinubu assumed office over a year ago, Nigeria’s economy was in dire straits—akin to a patient in an intensive care unit, clinging to life. Since then, the President’s efforts have been comparable to reviving a comatose patient, aiming to stabilize the economy enough to set it on a path to full recovery and robust health.

Two key policies spearheading this economic revival are the removal of petroleum subsidies and the floating of the exchange rate. While these measures were necessary, they have come with significant hardships, as acknowledged by both the government and the public. The cost of basic necessities—food, transportation, and healthcare—has skyrocketed, creating widespread distress. The government has admitted that these outcomes were unintended, though they have tried to explain them as the growing pains of necessary reforms.

Understandably, many Nigerians are skeptical about whether these policies are working. For most, the success of these reforms is measured by the prices of food in the market and imported goods on supermarket shelves. While the government acknowledges the public’s suffering, it likens it to labor pains that precede the birth of a new baby. The National Council of States seems to agree, having passed a vote of confidence in President Tinubu during its first meeting under his administration. Supporting the government’s position, the latest inflation figure for July—33.4%, down slightly from 34.19% in June—suggests that the situation may be beginning to improve.

The delay in seeing tangible benefits from these reforms is largely due to Nigeria’s overreliance on oil exports, with the non-oil sector contributing too little to impact the exchange rate or the broader economy. This dependency on oil has left the country’s economy perpetually tied to the unpredictable swings of the international oil market.

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Despite these challenges, the Tinubu administration has taken measures to keep the economy on track towards recovery, growth, and prosperity for all Nigerians. These include monetary and fiscal policies that have led to a steady increase in foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) and foreign direct investments (FDI), particularly in the oil and gas sector, over the past eight months. Additionally, multilateral organizations have shown support for the government’s reform agenda. The latest effort to stabilize the exchange rate—a crucial driver of economic growth—and bolster the country’s external reserves is the $500 million Domestic Bond issued on Monday, August 19, 2024.

As explained by Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, during a hybrid roadshow for the bond in Lagos, this initiative aims to rapidly enhance Nigeria’s external reserves and stabilize the exchange rate. The broader objectives include reducing inflation and interest rates, creating opportunities for investment, boosting productivity, generating jobs, and alleviating poverty. The bond is also intended to fund key sectors such as education, healthcare, and infrastructure—critical areas where improvement is necessary for reducing the country’s infrastructure deficit and fostering growth across all sectors.

A significant advantage of this bond is that it provides an alternative to borrowing—whether foreign or local—to finance development projects and programs, with no financial obligations for the government. The anticipated inflow of foreign exchange from FPIs, FDIs, and the dollar-denominated bond is expected to have a direct and positive impact on the economy, improving the standard of living for Nigerians. This is part of the larger vision the government has for its economic reforms—a vision that many Nigerians may not yet see, understandably so, given the current hardships in the country. However, there have been similar cases in developing countries where foreign currency-denominated bonds have significantly contributed to economic recovery and growth.

The expected benefits of the FGN Dollar Bond extend beyond the government, with Nigerians ultimately standing to gain through improved access to healthcare, education, and essential infrastructure. Moreover, there are immediate and direct opportunities for Nigerians, particularly those in the Diaspora, foreigners residing in Nigeria, and Nigerians with domiciliary accounts, to invest in the bond. With a minimum investment of $10,000 and a 9.75% return, the bond offers a secure investment option, backed by its listing on the FMDQ and the Nigerian Exchange Limited.

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